Article-Journal

Unifying incidence and prevalence under a time-varying general branching process
Renewal equations are a popular approach used in modelling the number of new infections, i.e., incidence, in an outbreak. We develop a …
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Vertebrate environmental DNA from leaf swabs
Terrestrial vertebrates are threatened by anthropogenic activities around the world. The rapid biodiversity loss that ensues is most …
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Airborne environmental DNA captures terrestrial vertebrate diversity in nature
The current biodiversity and climate crises highlight the need for efficient tools to monitor terrestrial ecosystems. Here, we provide …
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Closed‐loop Nash competition for liquidity
Abstract We study a multiplayer stochastic differential game, where agents interact through their joint price impact on an asset that …
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Long-term exposure to air pollution and risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection and COVID-19 hospitalisation or death: Danish nationwide cohort study
Background Early ecological studies have suggested links between air pollution and risk of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), but …
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Estimating fine age structure and time trends in human contact patterns from coarse contact data: The Bayesian rate consistency model
Since the emergence of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), large-scale social contact surveys are now …
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Intrinsic Randomness in Epidemic Modelling Beyond Statistical Uncertainty
Uncertainty can be classified as either aleatoric (intrinsic randomness) or epistemic (imperfect knowledge of parameters). The majority …
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No evidence of sustained nonzoonotic Plasmodium knowlesi transmission in Malaysia from modelling malaria case data
Abstract Reported incidence of the zoonotic malaria Plasmodium knowlesi has markedly increased across Southeast Asia and threatens …
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Mapping malaria incidence using routine health facility surveillance data in Uganda
INTRODUCTION: Maps of malaria risk are important tools for allocating resources and tracking progress. Most maps rely on …
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An archetypes approach to malaria intervention impact mapping: a new framework and example application
BACKGROUND: As both mechanistic and geospatial malaria modeling methods become more integrated into malaria policy decisions, there is …
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