Swapnil Mishra | Global Pathogen Analysis Platform (GPAP) AI Researchhttps://gpap-project.github.io/author/swapnil-mishra/Swapnil MishraHugo Blox Builder (https://hugoblox.com)en-usWed, 02 Jul 2025 00:00:00 +0000https://gpap-project.github.io/media/logo.svgSwapnil Mishrahttps://gpap-project.github.io/author/swapnil-mishra/Robert Verity, Samir Bhatt, Anne Cori, Seth Flaxman, and Swapnil Mishra’s contribution to the Discussion of ‘Some statistical aspects of the Covid-19 response’ by Wood et al.https://gpap-project.github.io/publication/verity-2025-robert/Wed, 02 Jul 2025 00:00:00 +0000https://gpap-project.github.io/publication/verity-2025-robert/Estimating the worst-case scenario for malaria parasite rate in sub-Saharan Africahttps://gpap-project.github.io/publication/chakradeo-2025-estimating/Fri, 16 May 2025 00:00:00 +0000https://gpap-project.github.io/publication/chakradeo-2025-estimating/Exploring the potential and limitations of deep learning and explainable AI for longitudinal life course analysishttps://gpap-project.github.io/publication/coupland-2025-exploring/Thu, 24 Apr 2025 00:00:00 +0000https://gpap-project.github.io/publication/coupland-2025-exploring/Ethnicity and anthropometric deficits in children: A cross-sectional analysis of national survey data from 18 countries in sub-Saharan Africahttps://gpap-project.github.io/publication/tusting-2024-ethnicity/Tue, 31 Dec 2024 00:00:00 +0000https://gpap-project.github.io/publication/tusting-2024-ethnicity/Modelling the impact of vaccination on SARS-CoV-2 transmission in Englandhttps://gpap-project.github.io/publication/derqui-2024-modelling/Sat, 07 Sep 2024 00:00:00 +0000https://gpap-project.github.io/publication/derqui-2024-modelling/The interaction of disease transmission, mortality, and economic output over the first 2 years of the COVID-19 pandemichttps://gpap-project.github.io/publication/morgenstern-2024-interaction/Thu, 13 Jun 2024 00:00:00 +0000https://gpap-project.github.io/publication/morgenstern-2024-interaction/Deep learning and MCMC with aggVAE for shifting administrative boundaries: mapping malaria prevalence in Kenyahttps://gpap-project.github.io/publication/semenova-2023-deep/Mon, 01 Jan 2024 00:00:00 +0000https://gpap-project.github.io/publication/semenova-2023-deep/Application of referenced thermodynamic integration to Bayesian model selectionhttps://gpap-project.github.io/publication/hawryluk-2023-application/Mon, 14 Aug 2023 00:00:00 +0000https://gpap-project.github.io/publication/hawryluk-2023-application/Machine learning models of healthcare expenditures predicting mortality: A cohort study of spousal bereaved Danish individualshttps://gpap-project.github.io/publication/katsiferis-2023-machine/Mon, 07 Aug 2023 00:00:00 +0000https://gpap-project.github.io/publication/katsiferis-2023-machine/Predicting mortality risk after a fall in older adults using health care spending patterns: a population-based cohort studyhttps://gpap-project.github.io/publication/katsiferis-2023-predicting/Tue, 01 Aug 2023 00:00:00 +0000https://gpap-project.github.io/publication/katsiferis-2023-predicting/Unifying incidence and prevalence under a time-varying general branching processhttps://gpap-project.github.io/publication/pakkanen-2021-unifying/Tue, 01 Aug 2023 00:00:00 +0000https://gpap-project.github.io/publication/pakkanen-2021-unifying/Intrinsic Randomness in Epidemic Modelling Beyond Statistical Uncertaintyhttps://gpap-project.github.io/publication/penn-2022-intrinsic/Thu, 01 Jun 2023 00:00:00 +0000https://gpap-project.github.io/publication/penn-2022-intrinsic/A comparison of short-term probabilistic forecasts for the incidence of COVID-19 using mechanistic and statistical time series modelshttps://gpap-project.github.io/publication/banholzer-2023-comparison/Mon, 01 May 2023 00:00:00 +0000https://gpap-project.github.io/publication/banholzer-2023-comparison/Effectiveness assessment of non-pharmaceutical interventions: lessons learned from the COVID-19 pandemichttps://gpap-project.github.io/publication/lison-2023-effectiveness/Thu, 23 Mar 2023 00:00:00 +0000https://gpap-project.github.io/publication/lison-2023-effectiveness/Sex differences in health care expenditures and mortality after spousal bereavement: A register-based Danish cohort studyhttps://gpap-project.github.io/publication/katsiferis-2023-differences/Wed, 22 Mar 2023 00:00:00 +0000https://gpap-project.github.io/publication/katsiferis-2023-differences/Semi-mechanistic Bayesian modelling of COVID-19 with renewal processeshttps://gpap-project.github.io/publication/bhatt-2023-semi/Sat, 25 Feb 2023 00:00:00 +0000https://gpap-project.github.io/publication/bhatt-2023-semi/Assessment of COVID-19 as the Underlying Cause of Death Among Children and Young People Aged 0 to 19 Years in the UShttps://gpap-project.github.io/publication/flaxman-2023-assessment/Mon, 30 Jan 2023 00:00:00 +0000https://gpap-project.github.io/publication/flaxman-2023-assessment/A COVID-19 Model for Local Authorities of the United Kingdomhttps://gpap-project.github.io/publication/mishra-2022-covid/Tue, 01 Nov 2022 00:00:00 +0000https://gpap-project.github.io/publication/mishra-2022-covid/Authors’ Reply to the Discussion of ‘A COVID-19 Model for Local Authorities of the United Kingdom’ by Mishra et al. in Session 2 of the Royal Statistical Society’s Special Topic Meeting on COVID-19 Transmission: 11 June 2021https://gpap-project.github.io/publication/mishra-2022-authors/Tue, 01 Nov 2022 00:00:00 +0000https://gpap-project.github.io/publication/mishra-2022-authors/Cox-Hawkes: doubly stochastic spatiotemporal Poisson processeshttps://gpap-project.github.io/publication/miscouridou-2022-hawkes/Fri, 21 Oct 2022 00:00:00 +0000https://gpap-project.github.io/publication/miscouridou-2022-hawkes/$$\pi $$VAE: a stochastic process prior for Bayesian deep learning with MCMChttps://gpap-project.github.io/publication/mishra-2022-stochastic/Mon, 17 Oct 2022 00:00:00 +0000https://gpap-project.github.io/publication/mishra-2022-stochastic/Lessons from SARS-CoV-2 in India: A data-driven framework for pandemic resiliencehttps://gpap-project.github.io/publication/salvatore-2022-lessons/Fri, 17 Jun 2022 00:00:00 +0000https://gpap-project.github.io/publication/salvatore-2022-lessons/PriorVAE: encoding spatial priors with variational autoencoders for small-area estimationhttps://gpap-project.github.io/publication/semenova-2022-priorvae/Wed, 01 Jun 2022 00:00:00 +0000https://gpap-project.github.io/publication/semenova-2022-priorvae/Estimating the COVID-19 infection fatality ratio accounting for seroreversion using statistical modellinghttps://gpap-project.github.io/publication/brazeau-2022-estimating/Thu, 19 May 2022 00:00:00 +0000https://gpap-project.github.io/publication/brazeau-2022-estimating/Spatial and temporal fluctuations in COVID-19 fatality rates in Brazilian hospitalshttps://gpap-project.github.io/publication/brizzi-2022-spatial/Tue, 10 May 2022 00:00:00 +0000https://gpap-project.github.io/publication/brizzi-2022-spatial/A dataset of non-pharmaceutical interventions on SARS-CoV-2 in Europehttps://gpap-project.github.io/publication/altman-2021-dataset/Fri, 01 Apr 2022 00:00:00 +0000https://gpap-project.github.io/publication/altman-2021-dataset/πVAE: a stochastic process prior for Bayesian deep learning with MCMChttps://gpap-project.github.io/publication/mishra-2020-stochastic/Sat, 01 Jan 2022 00:00:00 +0000https://gpap-project.github.io/publication/mishra-2020-stochastic/Epidemia: An R Package for Semi-Mechanistic Bayesian Modelling of Infectious Diseases using Point Processeshttps://gpap-project.github.io/publication/scott-2021-epidemia/Sun, 24 Oct 2021 00:00:00 +0000https://gpap-project.github.io/publication/scott-2021-epidemia/PriorVAE: Encoding spatial priors with VAEs for small-area estimationhttps://gpap-project.github.io/publication/semenova-2021-priorvae/Wed, 20 Oct 2021 00:00:00 +0000https://gpap-project.github.io/publication/semenova-2021-priorvae/Understanding the effectiveness of government interventions against the resurgence of COVID-19 in Europehttps://gpap-project.github.io/publication/sharma-2021-understanding/Tue, 05 Oct 2021 00:00:00 +0000https://gpap-project.github.io/publication/sharma-2021-understanding/Comparing the responses of the UK, Sweden and Denmark to COVID-19 using counterfactual modellinghttps://gpap-project.github.io/publication/mishra-2021-comparing/Wed, 11 Aug 2021 00:00:00 +0000https://gpap-project.github.io/publication/mishra-2021-comparing/Changing composition of SARS-CoV-2 lineages and rise of Delta variant in Englandhttps://gpap-project.github.io/publication/mishra-2021-changing/Sat, 31 Jul 2021 00:00:00 +0000https://gpap-project.github.io/publication/mishra-2021-changing/Is the cure really worse than the disease? The health impacts of lockdowns during COVID-19https://gpap-project.github.io/publication/meyerowitzkatz-2021-cure/Mon, 19 Jul 2021 00:00:00 +0000https://gpap-project.github.io/publication/meyerowitzkatz-2021-cure/Maps and metrics of insecticide-treated net access, use, and nets-per-capita in Africa from 2000-2020https://gpap-project.github.io/publication/villa-2021-maps/Fri, 11 Jun 2021 00:00:00 +0000https://gpap-project.github.io/publication/villa-2021-maps/Leveraging community mortality indicators to infer COVID-19 mortality and transmission dynamics in Damascus, Syriahttps://gpap-project.github.io/publication/watson-2021-leveraging/Thu, 22 Apr 2021 00:00:00 +0000https://gpap-project.github.io/publication/watson-2021-leveraging/Modelling the impact of the tier system on SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the UK between the first and second national lockdownshttps://gpap-project.github.io/publication/laydon-2021-modelling/Thu, 01 Apr 2021 00:00:00 +0000https://gpap-project.github.io/publication/laydon-2021-modelling/Using Hawkes Processes to model imported and local malaria cases in near-elimination settingshttps://gpap-project.github.io/publication/unwin-2021-using/Thu, 01 Apr 2021 00:00:00 +0000https://gpap-project.github.io/publication/unwin-2021-using/Assessing transmissibility of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7 in Englandhttps://gpap-project.github.io/publication/volz-2021-assessing/Thu, 25 Mar 2021 00:00:00 +0000https://gpap-project.github.io/publication/volz-2021-assessing/Age groups that sustain resurging COVID-19 epidemics in the United Stateshttps://gpap-project.github.io/publication/monod-2021-groups/Tue, 02 Feb 2021 00:00:00 +0000https://gpap-project.github.io/publication/monod-2021-groups/A unified machine learning approach to time series forecasting applied to demand at emergency departmentshttps://gpap-project.github.io/publication/vollmer-2021-unified/Mon, 18 Jan 2021 00:00:00 +0000https://gpap-project.github.io/publication/vollmer-2021-unified/Referenced Thermodynamic Integration for Bayesian Model Selection: Application to COVID-19 Model Selectionhttps://gpap-project.github.io/publication/hawryluk-2020-referenced/Tue, 08 Sep 2020 00:00:00 +0000https://gpap-project.github.io/publication/hawryluk-2020-referenced/