Neil M. Ferguson

Latest

Large-scale genomic surveillance reveals immunosuppression drives mutation dynamics in persistent SARS-CoV-2 infections
Federated analysis of incubation period distributions using individual-level observed data and heterogeneous summary statistics
Transmission Networks and Intervention Effects From SARS-CoV-2 Genomic and Social Network Data in Denmark
Socioeconomic and temporal heterogeneity in SARS-CoV-2 exposure and disease in England from May 2020 to February 2023
Artificial intelligence for modelling infectious disease epidemics
The interaction of disease transmission, mortality, and economic output over the first 2 years of the COVID-19 pandemic
Impact of proactive and reactive vaccination strategies for health-care workers against MERS-CoV: a mathematical modelling study
Effectiveness assessment of non-pharmaceutical interventions: lessons learned from the COVID-19 pandemic
Semi-mechanistic Bayesian modelling of COVID-19 with renewal processes
A COVID-19 Model for Local Authorities of the United Kingdom
Authors’ Reply to the Discussion of ‘A COVID-19 Model for Local Authorities of the United Kingdom’ by Mishra et al. in Session 2 of the Royal Statistical Society’s Special Topic Meeting on COVID-19 Transmission: 11 June 2021
Misclassification bias in estimating clinical severity of SARS-CoV-2 variants – Authors' reply
Estimating the COVID-19 infection fatality ratio accounting for seroreversion using statistical modelling
Comparative analysis of the risks of hospitalisation and death associated with SARS-CoV-2 omicron (B.1.1.529) and delta (B.1.617.2) variants in England: a cohort study.
The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on patterns of attendance at emergency departments in two large London hospitals: an observational study
Comparing the responses of the UK, Sweden and Denmark to COVID-19 using counterfactual modelling
Changing composition of SARS-CoV-2 lineages and rise of Delta variant in England
Leveraging community mortality indicators to infer COVID-19 mortality and transmission dynamics in Damascus, Syria
Modelling the impact of the tier system on SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the UK between the first and second national lockdowns
Assessing transmissibility of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7 in England
Age groups that sustain resurging COVID-19 epidemics in the United States